Looks like Harley is in for a rough time as far as business goes. Usually this time of year is when a lot of new members - new CVO owners - join this forum & others. Seems like the numbers are down to me and suppose that is a reflection of overall HD sales.
I think so. They have two problems going forward, they are stupidly overpriced (and they up the price every year!) and their lack of reliability (ably assisted by lousy QC and their predilection for finding the cheapest Chinese suppliers for parts, giving rise to their "it's cheaper to replace under warranty multiple times than it is to fit decent parts in the first place" mentality.) The Twin-Cooled water pump fiasco is a prime example, as is the M8 oil migration and sumping.
Add to that the ever-growing list of stuff that is no longer included with the bikes:
Heel shifter on non-CVO
Satellite XM radio on domestic CVO
CB Radio except on CVO
Tool kit
2nd headset on all touring models
Fairing vent flap
Free 5 year map updates on CVO
Custom front footrest brackets on CVO
Bag liners
A CVO Ultra Limited here is £35595 (Just short of $46,000) and for that amount you can buy a very highly specced quality car, that doesn't keep breaking down. Dealers haven't yet sold many of the '19 models (currently on offer from multiple dealers at a discount of £5600 - or around $7200) so it's hard to see how they are going to move any serious number of the '20 FLHTKSE, with the above deletions, and the somewhat uninspiring (compared to earlier years) paint jobs. (There's actually one '19 FLHTKSE on ebay at £10,000 - $12,900-ish - off new price at £24999, that's done 201 miles, and it's been on there for weeks!)
All their troubles are of their own making, with their "let them eat cake" mentality, and their utter contempt for loyal customers. Not that it will affect me at my age, but if they are still selling motorcycles in ten or fifteen years, I'd be surprised.