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Author Topic: Can HD Survive the downturn (Article on MSN.com)  (Read 6539 times)

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49445CVO

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Re: Can HD Survive the downturn (Article on MSN.com)
« Reply #45 on: January 07, 2009, 05:12:05 PM »

Just saw this on the msn.com website...

http://blogs.moneycentral.msn.com/topstocks/?fpn=can%20harley%20davidson%20handle%20the%20downturn

I wonder.  If we shut up the press for one month, what would the stock market and economy look like.  Yes HD stock has tanked and yes so has the DOW.  But just as it was artificially inflated in the past, it is now artificialy deflated.  If everyone would stop yelling fire in the crowed theater, I think we'd all get out alive.

Ride Safe,
J-Carr

I second this
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Re: Can HD Survive the downturn (Article on MSN.com)
« Reply #46 on: January 18, 2009, 10:33:15 PM »

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Re: Can HD Survive the downturn (Article on MSN.com)
« Reply #47 on: January 19, 2009, 04:04:03 AM »

Can I get an Amen!

Guys, this is just wishful thinking. I agree that the press is like a pest most of times, but in this case nothing would change of it is not (right or wrong) reported. The ability of Harley getting financing for their financial services is dependent on the banks ability to raise that money from other banks (or the government). How this is done, will impact severely how Harley can refinance and therefore finance new bike acquisitions. At this time, with Harley's credit rating just cut down a bit, this is getting more and more difficult. If this gets difficult the interest Harley has to pay goes up. If that interest goes up, it should impact the interest Harley can offer to new buyers. If this interest increases, financing gets more expense, hence fewer bikes will be sold. This is pretty simple. Now if Harley would subsidize (and they already do to some extent) the financing, their bottom line is hurt. As a result their profit is adversely impacted, and that may result in a lowering of their credit rating. The cycle starts again.

Ride safely,
Louis
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Re: Can HD Survive the downturn (Article on MSN.com)
« Reply #48 on: January 19, 2009, 08:41:18 AM »

Guys, this is just wishful thinking. I agree that the press is like a pest most of times, but in this case nothing would change of it is not (right or wrong) reported. The ability of Harley getting financing for their financial services is dependent on the banks ability to raise that money from other banks (or the government). How this is done, will impact severely how Harley can refinance and therefore finance new bike acquisitions. At this time, with Harley's credit rating just cut down a bit, this is getting more and more difficult. If this gets difficult the interest Harley has to pay goes up. If that interest goes up, it should impact the interest Harley can offer to new buyers. If this interest increases, financing gets more expense, hence fewer bikes will be sold. This is pretty simple. Now if Harley would subsidize (and they already do to some extent) the financing, their bottom line is hurt. As a result their profit is adversely impacted, and that may result in a lowering of their credit rating. The cycle starts again.

Ride safely,
Louis

Louis of course you are correct. My point is that the "Fourth Estate" could expend more energy on the positive by way of using the few there are currently to begin to turn the ship. IMO the negatives become self fullfilling and that which we resist will persist. Think about the War on Drugs! How's that working for you? Terror sells news and we need the power of the media to sell the turn around!
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Rinehart True Duals
Rich's Custom seat
Zippers T-Max TBW
Stage 1
Wood TW-7H cam
SE Tapered push rods
Extronics HID digital H9 High/Low
Metzler 880's 10K + on the first rear
Howard's Horns
Chrome TP Hinges
JM Antennas
Clearview recurve
Arnott Air Suspension with QA1 shocks
Traxxion AK20's
True Trac
RJ's Original V-Twin Heat shields
WA plate - FLHTSE

Lea
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