I don't think I would take a chance and put down money with any dealer that far in advance right now. I think there are a lot of dealers on the edge of disappearing currently. At least around here, I'm seeing stockpiles of used bikes building up in inventories. The dealer where I purchased my bike still has a new '05 Dyna on the sales floor that they have never been able to get rid of...but there is actually more to the story on that bike. They put about $60,000 into modifying the bike. It's probably one of the nicest looking bikes I have ever seen. There is nothing on that bike that hasn't been changed or powder coated other than the kickstand. They are now down to asking $28,000 for it and it still sits there. One of the local dealers is so stockpiled with used bikes that they are literally running out of room to display new bikes and I don't think they have moved any of those used bikes for at least 2 years. They just keep taking them in on trade and at some point, that has to bite them in the a$$. Even over the winter months, I don't think I have ever seen the dealers so dead. I stopped by a dealer yesterday that has always kept hours to 7pm and 8pm and open Sundays over the summer. I got there and they are now closing at 4pm. We may have to update our GPS to remove some Harley dealers over the next year or so. Just my take on things.